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FantasyDraft MLB: Friday Values

Juan Carlos Blanco

Winner of the FSWA 2016 Newcomer of the Year Award, Juan Carlos Blanco has been playing fantasy sports for close to 20 years and covers NBA, MLB, and the NFL for Rotowire.com, including serving as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' beat writer. He has previously written for KFFL.com and remains an avid season-long and daily fantasy player in multiple sports.

PITCHER

Chris Sale, BOS at OAK ($25,200): Sale takes on an Oakland team that has a 23.9 percent K% and .299 wOBA against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox ace been downright dominant, racking up 85 strikeouts over 58.2 innings while scoring over 30 fantasy points in three starts and over 40 in another. He’s also boasting a .171 BAA in three road starts, while the A’s strike out 24.1 percent of the time at home.

Michael Wacha, STL vs. SF ($15,200): The Giants sport an anemic .287 road wOBA and their .276 wOBA against right-handers is last in the majors. Wacha has been solid this season, scoring between 16.90 and 25.40 fantasy points in five of his six starts, and he’s also been particularly effective at home, posting a 2.92 ERA and allowing a .277 wOBA over 24.2 innings.

INFIELD

Paul Goldschmidt, ARI at SD ($10,200): Goldschmidt is behind only the Cardinals’ Matt Carpenter with a 58.5 percent hard contact rate this month, and he has a .461 wOBA and 51.2 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching. He’s blasted Padres starter Jered Weaver and his low 80s fastball for a .667 average over a modest sample of seven career plate appearances, and he could also produce against the San Diego bullpen, which has given up a 12 homers to righty bats.

Tommy Joseph, PHI at PIT ($7,600): Pirates starter Trevor Williams has allowed a .447 wOBA over a 44-batter sample this month, while Joseph has an NL-best .533 wOBA over that span. Joseph is also boasting a .351 wOBA (including .375 on the road) against righties this season, along with a 35.0 percent hard contact rate that rises to 44.1 percent when facing them on the road.

Yulieski Gurriel, HOU vs. CLE ($6,400): Indians starter Trevor Bauer has a 6.95 ERA and allowed a .364 wOBA over 22 road innings this season, and he has surrendered a .345 wOBA to right-handed hitters along with a 34.4 percent hard contact rate to them on the road. Gurriel already has a homer and three other hits against Bauer in six career encounters and sports a .356 wOBA and 34.1 percent hard contact rate versus right-handed pitching.

OUTFIELD

J.D. Martinez, DET vs. TEX ($9,300): Martinez has been on a tear since his season debut on May 12, hitting .500 with five homers and 11 RBI over 25 plate appearances. He’s has a .467 batting average, .709 wOBA and 61.5 percent hard contact rate over his first 21 plate appearances versus right-handed pitchers, while Rangers starter Nick Martinez has allowed a .522 wOBA, 3.38 HR/9 and 29.2 percent line drive rate to right-handed hitters away from Globe Life Park. The Texas bullpen has also yielded a .333 wOBA to righty bats, keeping Martinez’s prospects high when the Rangers starter exits.

Aaron Altherr, PHI at PIT ($8,100): Pirates starter Trevor Williams’ troubles against right-handed hitters were detailed earlier, making Altherr an appealing play, as he has has a .447 wOBA, five homers, 177 wRC+ and 40.5 percent hard contact rate against right-handed pitching, and he boasts a .514 wOBA and 43.6 percent hard contact over 63 plate appearances this month.

Jayson Werth, WAS at ATL ($7,600): Werth has punished Braves starter R.A. Dickey for a .481 batting average, three doubles, two homers and four RBI over 32 career plate appearances, and he has a .376 wOBA versus right-handed pitching, along with a 37.5 percent hard contact rate when facing them on the road. Dickey has surrendered a .388 wOBA and 2.45 HR/9 to right-handed hitters at home this year, along with a .382 wOBA and 5.75 xFIP overall in three May starts. The Braves bullpen has been just as bad against righty bats, giving up a .360 wOBA, including 12 homers.

UTILITY

Chris Davis, BAL vs. TOR ($8,800): Davis’ bat has caught fire, as he’s sporting a .465 wOBA and 56.3 percent hard contact rate over his last 67 plate appearances. He’s also battered Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez for a .444 batting average, two doubles and four homers over 28 career plate appearances. Additionally, Sanchez has given up a .322 wOBA and 38.9 percent hard contact to lefty bats while Davis counters with a .395 wOBA and 43.8 percent hard contact against right-handed pitching.

Matt Kemp, ATL vs. WAS ($8,100): Nationals starter Gio Gonzalez has showed a few chinks in the armor lately, including giving up a .370 wOBA and five homers over his last three starts. Many of his troubles have come against right-handed hitters on the road, as he’s yielded a .348 wOBA, 5.45 xFIP and 37.8 percent hard contact rate to that handedness away from Nationals Park. Kemp has been on a tear in May, compiling a .374 wOBA, 27.7 percent line drive rate and 34.0 percent hard contact rate over 68 plate appearances. He’s also punished southpaws for a .441 wOBA at home and a 50.0 percent hard contact rate overall. Additionally, the Nationals bullpen has allowed a .344 wOBA, including 13 homers, to righty bats this year.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Juan Carlos Blanco plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: DraftKings: jcblanco22, FanDuel: jc_blanco22, DraftPot: jc_blanco22, FantasyDraft: jc_blanco22, OwnThePlay: jcblanco22.